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Ventforet Kofu – Jubilo Iwata Humans are biased and their opinions color their decisions. Machines don’t care if you have a man-crush on Tom Brady. If the stats say the New England Patriots will lose, then the computer will tell you – the Patriots will lose. This is why advanced stats have grown in popularity for fantasy leagues, pro sports teams, agents and even the general stats geek. And it’s why NFL computer predictions are coming to be relied upon more than the screaming, angle-quoting handicapper.
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where τ {\displaystyle \tau } and σ a , A 2 {\displaystyle \sigma _{a,A}^{2}} refer to the loss of memory rate and to the prior attack variance respectively. Midwest
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Known from INDEX can be interpreted as twice the amount of predicted goal diference between home and away goal scores. With the plus sign in favour of home team, with minus sign in favour of away team. E.g. INDEX -4,0 means that our software predicts win of the away team for 2 goals, INDEX +3,0 means that our software predicts win of the home team for 1,5 goals.
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Hammarby vs Malmo FF (18:00) X: 3.25 ^ Constantinou, Anthony (2018). “Dolores: a model the predicts football match outcomes from all over the world”. Machine Learning.: 1–27. doi:10.1007/s10994-018-5703-7. Retrieved 9 May 2018.

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a A t 1 | a A t 0 ∼ N ( a A t 0 ,   t 1 − t 0 τ σ a , A 2 ) {\displaystyle {a_{A}^{t_{1}}}|{a_{A}^{t_{0}}}\;\sim N\left(a_{A}^{t_{0}},\ {\frac {t_{1}-t_{0}}{\tau }}\sigma _{a,A}^{2}\right)}
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These averages are then compared to the league average and are used to create the values for defensive strength and attacking strength for each team. You can figure out the defense and attack by dividing average goals for and average goals against by the league average.
7:00 a.m. Highlights 11:30  Italy  Lazov A. – Roncalli S.   ITF Casale Monferrato Men (clay) 
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42 Turkey: TFF 1. Lig 0 2 (2) 0 £64.05 Whether you do the Football Pools or bet through a bookmaker, the following football betting tips are designed to help you improve your football results forecasts. By following our football betting tips, you’ll increase your chances of winning your bets on matches in the Premier League, the Championship, the Champions League or any other football competitions.
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